Market report · September 2026Hot market
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Australia residential real estate market report for September 2026. National house prices were moving higher, up 8.3% from a year earlier in Q2 2026 (-0.1% quarter on quarter). Annual growth is slowing compared with the previous quarter. The Reserve Bank of Australia’s policy rate stood at 4.35% in August 2026, up from 3.60% a year earlier.

September 2026 at a Glance

House prices · Australia
+8.3% YoY
-0.1% QoQ · Q2 2026
Momentum
Slowing
+8.3% now vs +10.3% a quarter earlier
Policy rate
4.35%
Rising over 12 months · August 2026

House Prices and Trends

The national house price index for Australia rose 8.3% year on year in Q2 2026 and was -0.1% against the previous quarter, according to BIS, Residential property prices (nominal). A year earlier the annual rate was +4.1%, so growth has picked up over twelve months. The latest quarter shows annual growth decelerating from its previous reading — a sign that the upswing is maturing.

Quarter Prices YoY Prices QoQ
Q1 2025 +4.5% +0.4%
Q2 2025 +4.1% +1.7%
Q3 2025 +5.1% +2.4%
Q4 2025 +8.2% +3.4%
Q1 2026 +10.3% +2.4%
Q2 2026 +8.3% -0.1%

House price index, % change year on yearQ3 2024+7.4%Q4 2024+5.8%Q1 2025+4.5%Q2 2025+4.1%Q3 2025+5.1%Q4 2025+8.2%Q1 2026+10.3%Q2 2026+8.3%

Financing and Interest Rates

The Reserve Bank of Australia’s policy rate was 4.35% in August 2026 (BIS, Central bank policy rates). Rates are 0.75 points higher than a year ago, which raises the cost of borrowing and tends to cool price growth with a lag of two to four quarters.

Australia in the News

Reading the Trend

Hot market

This is a seller's market by any measure. Buyers should expect competition and limited negotiating room; investors should stress-test yields against a slowdown in capital growth.

What to watch next month

  • The next quarterly release of the house price index for Australia (Q2 2026 is the latest) — whether annual growth keeps slowing.
  • Upcoming decisions by the Reserve Bank of Australia — any move from 4.35% feeds through to mortgage pricing within weeks.

What This Means for Buyers, Sellers and Investors

구매자들

Competition is strong and negotiating room is limited; decide quickly on well-priced property, but set a ceiling based on rents and incomes rather than on recent price gains.

Sellers

Pricing at the market rather than above it still sells fastest; over-reaching invites a stale listing once momentum turns.

투자자

Rising financing costs narrow the gap between yield and mortgage rate; model returns at today's rate plus one point.

Sources

Methodology: all figures are taken directly from the free public statistical sources linked above, for the periods stated; official statistics are published with a lag, so the latest available release is used. Commentary is generated from those figures by rule and reviewed before publication. Nothing here is financial advice.

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