United States residential real estate market report for September 2026. National house prices were inching higher, up 1.2% from a year earlier in Q2 2026 (+0.5% quarter on quarter). The pace of annual growth is steady. The Federal Reserve’s policy rate stood at 3.63% in August 2026, down from 4.38% a year earlier.
September 2026 at a Glance
House Prices and Trends
The national house price index for the United States rose 1.2% year on year in Q2 2026 and was +0.5% against the previous quarter, according to BIS, Residential property prices (nominal). A year earlier the annual rate was +2.0%, so growth has cooled over twelve months.
| Quarter | Prices YoY | Prices QoQ |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | +2.8% | +0.3% |
| Q2 2025 | +2.0% | +0.0% |
| Q3 2025 | +1.4% | +0.3% |
| Q4 2025 | +1.0% | +0.4% |
| Q1 2026 | +0.7% | 0.0% |
| Q2 2026 | +1.2% | +0.5% |
House price index, % change year on yearQ3 2024+3.7%Q4 2024+3.5%Q1 2025+2.8%Q2 2025+2.0%Q3 2025+1.4%Q4 2025+1.0%Q1 2026+0.7%Q2 2026+1.2%
Financing and Interest Rates
The Federal Reserve’s policy rate was 3.63% in August 2026 (BIS, Central bank policy rates). The easing cycle — 0.75 points lower than a year ago — is the main tailwind for demand.
United States in the News
- The Mormon church is expanding its real-estate empire across the United States: ‘They’re opportunists in a very calculated way’ – EL PAÍS English (EL PAÍS English, 20 Sep 2026)
- Commercial Real Estate – United States | Market Forecast – statista.com (statista.com, 21 Jul 2026)
Reading the Trend
A sideways market: neither side has a clear upper hand. Time on market lengthens and negotiation matters more than timing.
What to watch next month
- The next quarterly release of the house price index for the United States (Q2 2026 is the latest) — whether annual growth holds near +1.2%.
- Upcoming decisions by the Federal Reserve — any move from 3.63% feeds through to mortgage pricing within weeks.
What This Means for Buyers, Sellers and Investors
Time is on your side — offers below asking are normal in a flat market, especially on stock listed for more than 90 days.
The first two weeks on the market matter most — price to the last comparable sale, not the highest asking price in the street.
Falling financing costs improve leveraged returns and widen the gap between yield and mortgage rate.
Sources
- BIS, Residential property prices (nominal)
- BIS, Central bank policy rates
- Headlines via Google News RSS; content belongs to the linked publishers.
Previous edition: United States Property Market Report — August 2026
Methodology: all figures are taken directly from the free public statistical sources linked above, for the periods stated; official statistics are published with a lag, so the latest available release is used. Commentary is generated from those figures by rule and reviewed before publication. Nothing here is financial advice.
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